The New England Patriots’ unexpected strong start to the 2025 NFL season continues as they sit all alone in first place in the AFC East at 7-2 with a half game lead over the Buffalo Bills. While Buffalo is going to be expected to remain in the race for the AFC East, the Patriots aren’t making the AFC East the cakewalk the Bills expected prior to the season.
New England is well ahead of schedule on their post-dynasty rebuild as head coach Mike Vrabel cleared some of the last vestiges of the Bill Belichick era out before the trade deadline as former second-round draft picks Keion White and Kyle Dugger were shipped out.
Despite the drop-off in defensive depth, the Patriots failed to make a move at the trade deadline to add to the roster. With running back Rhamondre Stevenson out for the season, running back was expected to be a position to add to. Fans were hopeful for another playmaker or a pass rusher on defense. Instead, the Pats stood pat.
The frustration from fans and the media about the inactivity is due to the Drake Maye/Mike Vrabel rebuild--originally expected to be a multi-year project--having ramped up as the Patriots have taken advantage of a last-place schedule, some above-average offensive line play spearheaded by draft picks and veteran free agents, quarterback Drake Maye’s development under offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and the “Vrabel Guys” brought in via free agency on defense stepping up big time at edge rusher and linebacker.
With these increased expectations, the Patriots face a huge test after smashing the four tomato cans lined up for them after their thrilling prime-time win over the Bills. The Patriots returned home to Gillette Stadium after three consecutive road wins to beat the Cleveland Browns and then edged out the Atlanta Falcons 24-23.
The schedule gets tougher this weekend with a trip to Tampa to face Baker Mayfield and the NFC South leading Bucs and then a matchup in Cincinnati against Joe Flacco and the resurgent Bengals sandwiched around home games against Jersey’s finest, aka the Jets and Giants before the bye week in week 14 before the final four game stretch to the regular season.
Last Week:
The New England Patriots won last week against an inferior opponent, but this was a game they had comfortably in hand early on and let Atlanta hang around and almost tie the game late in the fourth quarter after turnovers again bit the offense.
After three straight touchdown drives, New England led 21-7 in the second quarter and stopped the Falcons on fourth down with less than two minutes before halftime. Driving to midfield, a Drake Maye sack and fumble gave Atlanta the ball at the New England six yard line with 23 seconds and the Falcons cut the lead to seven.
In the second half, after a long clock-eating drive stalled in the red zone due to another Atlanta sack on May on second and five from the five yard line, the Patriots led by ten and forced a three-and-out. With a chance to again bury Atlanta, Maye’s interception on a miscommunication with Hunter Henry led to Atlanta driving for a field goal and making it a one-score game early in the fourth quarter.
The offense went cold in the fourth quarter and the Falcons scored a touchdown with less than five minutes to play, but fortunately double-agent John Parker Romo missed the extra point and the Patriots defense made another stop and Maye found Hunter Henry on third and five inside the two minute warning to ice the 24-23 win.
How to Watch/Listen to the Game:
After week after week of the second and third and even fourth-tier announcers on CBS this season, Patriots fans get the top team of Jim Nantz on play-by-play and Tony Romo on color with Tracy Wolfson on the sidelines.
This week’s game will be broadcast to a national audience by Compass Media Networks. Chris Carrino will call the game with Brian Baldinger providing analysis. Carrino is the voice of the Brooklyn Nets on WFAN in New York and an inspiration as he has battled Facioscapulohumeral Muscular Dystrophy (FSHD), which is a genetic disease that causes the progressive degeneration of several muscles.
Sunday’s game will be broadcast locally on the radio by Bigelow Tea hawking play-by-play broadcaster Bob Socci calling the action along with former Patriots quarterback and Sports Hub personality Scott Zolak providing his usual energy while delivering what passes for analysis in these parts.
Key Stats:
The Patriots are 4-0 on the road in 2025 as they head to Tampa. New England has incredibly started with a road record of 5-0 or better six times in team history (1978 - 6-0, 2006 - 5-0, 2007 - 8-0, 2016 - 8-0, 2017 - 6-0 and 2021 - 6-0). The current six-game winning streak in 2025 is the longest streak since 2021 when the Patriots had a seven-game winning streak from Week 7 to Week 13 in the last season they made the playoffs with Bill Belichick and rookie Mac Jones.
New England’s offense is currently seventh in the league in points scored (26.3/g) and 12th in total yards at midseason (all stats from Pro-Football-Reference.com, unless otherwise noted). After the absolute disaster on offense the past two seasons, this is a remarkable improvement under coordinator Josh McDaniels.
With a competent offensive line, a few decent wide receivers, and a developing Drake Maye, New England is ninth overall in total passing yards and fourth in Net Yards per Attempt. Maye leads the league with a 74.1% completion rate and has 17 touchdowns passing to just four interceptions. Whatever the statistics, Maye is getting a passing grade and playing his way into the MVP conversation.
New England, while ninth in passing yards, is 28th in pass attempts, showing extraordinary efficiency in the passing game. They are eighth in the league with 17 passing touchdowns and eight fewest interceptions thrown with just four. Maye is second in the league with his 116.9 quarterback rating while averaging 12.1 yards per completion and 253.9 yards per game.
However, despite a resurgence in the passing game, New England has given up 34 sacks and are still struggling to run the ball consistently. They are 17th in rushing yards with just 1,011 yards on the ground and a dismal 3.9 yards per rush average. Maye has accounted for 270 yards and rookie TreVeyon Henderson leads the team with just 283 yards rushing while injured Rhamondre Stevenson is second with 279 yards on the ground.
On defense, the emphasis by head coach Mike Vrabel and interim defensive coordinator Zak Kuhr (Defensive Coordinator Terrell Williams has been on medical leave much of training camp and the season) on controlling the opponent’s running game has been phenomenal. Through nine games, they’ve yet to allow an opposing running back to more than 50 yards or more in a game.
The team defense is sixth in the NFL in points allowed and ninth in total yards allowed. The Patriots have allowed the fewest rushing yards through nine weeks (679 yards) and the fewest attempts (189) as opponents have abandoned the running game early and often. Opponents have averaged just 3.6 yards per rush against New England this season.
The passing defense--which struggled early in the season before Christian Gonzalez got healthy--has improved dramatically with his return to health. Despite their early struggles allowing 333 and 297 yards passing the first two weeks, since week three no team has topped 250 net yards in the air against New England. In fact, Buffalo in week five was the last team to accumulate 300 yards of total offense in a game versus the Patriots.
The New England pass defense was 26th in passing yards allowed heading into week five. Heading into week eight, they’ve improved to 24th. Big plays have skewed the numbers, as they’re 29th in net yards allowed per attempt, but 13th in passing touchdowns allowed and 12th in interceptions.
NE Offense vs TB Defense:
The Patriots are facing a well-rested Tampa Bay team coming off their bye week and have been playing well winning three of their last four games and sitting comfortably atop the NFC South yet again.
Tampa’s only losses have been to NFC heavyweights Detroit and the defending champion Eagles. New England has been riding high on offense in 2025, with Drake Maye making quick decisions and improved accuracy in the pocket. He seemed to hold the ball more the last two weeks as Cleveland and Atlanta’s pass rush got to him for eleven sacks.
While Maye remains dangerous when he tucks the ball and runs, he needs to avoid hits by sliding earlier and throwing the ball away when the play breaks down and there are no opportunities.
There is a delicate balance to find between extending plays and being able to have a shot to show off his fantastic downfield accuracy and touch. Offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels has worked hard to have Maye keep his eyes downfield and he made some great plays this season finding his receivers while both stepping up inside the pocket and remaining accurate and on time outside the pocket.
Last week saw the New England offense hit on three straight touchdown drives early on in the game, but sacks and turnovers in the third and fourth quarters almost derailed them. With TreVeyon Henderson and Terrell Jennnings combining for 90 yards rushing, the offense converted eight of 12 third downs.
After week nine, the Patriots are up to eighth in the league on third down conversion percentage (42.9%) and remain excellent on fourth down (10 of 12 conversions for an 83.3%) as the dual-threat of Maye’s strong arm and legs makes opposing defenses uncomfortable in short yardage situations.
The Red Zone should continue to be a point of emphasis for the offense. New England struggled again last week in the second half and are just 18th in Red Zone TD percentage (down from 14th a few weeks ago) with just 19 of 33 trips resulting in touchdowns (57.6%).
Tampa’s defense is 13th in the NFL in points (178) and 15th in yards allowed through their eight games. It is an aggressive defense that forces turnovers (fifth in the NFL) and like New England, does not give up much on the ground (seventh in rushing yards allowed and allowing a 3.9 yds/rush average).
With a mix of veterans and ascending young players, the Tampa defense has superstars at all three levels with defensive tackle Vita Vea, ageless wonder Lavonte David at inside linebacker, and Antoine Winfield Jr., arguably the game’s best safety. Whatever way you spin it, this is an elite defense and another huge test for Maye and the Patriots.
Pass Offense:
Tampa’s pass rush comes at opponents from everywhere. Yaya Diaby, Anthony Nelson and Haason Reddick lead the charge from the edge and Vea is one of the best interior pass rushers in the game. Add in blitzes from David and SirVocea Dennis, and the Tampa defense can pressure the best passing offenses.
Reddick may be a game time decision as he has been limited with knee/ankle injuries, but the Bucs have plenty in reserve. Against the run, Vea is a beast but underrated defensive linemen Logan Hall and Greg Gaines have been a key part of shutting down opposing running games.
The secondary is anchored by Winfield, but veteran cornerback Jamel Dean remains a solid stopper and Zyon McCollum, a favorite of mine in the 2022 draft, has ascended and allowed Tampa to move on from Carlton Davis. Second-year safety Tykee Smith has improved dramatically and is a force in the running game and covers tight ends and backs well.
The defense loves to blitz and will do it on any down and distance. They will mix up their looks to try and confuse Maye and show hybrid 3-4/4-3 looks up front. They mix coverages and disguise very well, so it will be a tough test for Drake Maye and he will need to get rid of the ball quickly this week.
The New England offensive line has struggled with twists and stunts, and should see them often as Todd Bowles loves to try to create mismatches and free runners going after the quarterback. Without Antonio Gibson (Injured Reserve) and Rhamondre Stevenson (toe injury - ruled out) the Patriots are depending on inexperienced running backs TreVeyon Henderson and Terrell Jennings to pick up these blitzes which come from everywhere.
Tackles Morgan Moses and rookie Will Campbell have been solid in pass protection but the last three weeks the offensive line has allowed way too much pressure allowing 15 sacks, Not all of that is on the line, as Maye has held the ball and scrambled into sacks rather than throwing the ball away.
The Patriots missed wide receiver Kayshon Boutte last week. Boutte is expected to miss the game and the offense fell off considerably once Boutte exited the game. The growth of Boutte developing into a reliable number two wide receiver is one of the best stories of this season and his reliability and comfort with Maye stand out.
This is a game where Mack Hollins will be expected to step up. Stefon Diggs remains the top target, Hunter Henry is the safety blanket, and Demario Douglas and Austin Hooper have their roles on offense. Hollins will be the big outside target in place of Boutte
Rookie Kyle Williams again seems to still have no trust or chemistry with Maye.
Last week, Douglas popped with four receptions for 100 yards. Josh McDaniels’ usage of Douglas as a downfield threat has been eye opening this season. Douglas rewarded his trust with yet another big catch and run (well, more of a stumble, slip and stagger) of 58 yards last week.
Diggs had just three catches for 38 yards seeing a lot of Atlanta’s AJ Terrell, their top cornerback, but he did add another touchdown reception. Henry had four catches for 51 yards, but it was definitely a miscommunication that resulted in a turnover.
The Bucs’ pass defense is another strong unit. A strong pass rush, big and powerful interior line, coverage linebackers, solid cornerbacks, and excellent safeties--there’s no weaknesses here. Linebackers Lavonte David and SirVocea Dennis can both blitz or show pressure and drop in coverage. David is better at covering tight ends, but while the crafty vet has lost a step, he knows how and when to tug a jersey to slow down a tight end without drawing a flag. New England should look for Hunter Henry or Austin Hooper anytime Dennis is in coverage as it is his weakest skill.
At cornerback, neither Jamel Dean or Zyon McCollum are on anyone’s best cornerback list but Dean is ranked high with a PFF grade that is the best in the NFL at 90.7 this year. Despite not getting national notoriety, he has consistently been a number one shutdown cornerback able to play bump and run man or drop in zone and using his intelligence and quickness to jump routes.
Opposite him, Zyon McCollum was a darling of the advanced stats last season and his breakout allowed Tampa to move on from Carlton Davis. The Sam Houston State alum hasn’t matched his breakout season so far, but he is above average and long with good instincts. McCollum is great at getting his hands on the ball.
Rookie nickelback Jacob Parrish struggled against Amon-Ra St. Brown but otherwise has been fantastic as a rookie. He is a great blitzer off the corner and can be sent in any down and distance, is flexible enough to slide outside with ease, and helps out in the run defense. For a third round pick, he has been fantastic so far in 2025.
While Haason Reddick may be a late in week decision if he plays (edit: looks like he’s out), there is no drop off with Anthony Nelson. Prior to the bye week, Nelson was the NFC defensive player of the week. He had a pick six, two sacks and a forced fumble versus the Saints.
Despite the rankings on defense, the Tampa defense is legitimate. Injuries keyed a poor stretch against strong offenses like Seattle, Philadelphia and Detroit, the Bucs are a real test for Drake Maye on Sunday. They will blitz. And blitz. And blitz. The Patriots better be ready.
Run Offense:
The Patriots continued to be inconsistent in the running game in 2025 although last week looked like another week of progress. Without Rhamondre Stevenson, rookie TreVeyon Henderson and former practice squad running back Terrell Jennings made the most of their opportunities and combined for 90 yards rushing on 25 carries and Jennings reached the end zone.
The New England offensive line has a tough matchup this week. Like New England, the Buccaneers aren’t allowing many teams to run on them. Only Detroit and Seattle have topped 100 yards on the ground against this tough front seven.
Tampa is seventh in rushing yards allowed and sixth allowing just 3.9 yards per rush. In their last game against the Saints, New Orleans managed just 48 yards rushing--and half of that total was from the quarterbacks running for their lives from the pass rush. Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill combined for just 27 yards on eight carries.
Tampa linebacker Lavonte David may be 35 years old but he plays downhill still and chases down ball carriers. SirVocea Dennis is the thumper at linebacker in the run game. Up front, Vita Vea blows up the plays in the backfield and lets the linebackers clean things up.
Tampa Bay has an involved secondary as all three cornerbacks are willing tacklers on the edge and Dean among the best. Safeties Jacob Parrish and Antoine Winfield Jr. get involved in the run game.
For New England, with such an aggressive Tampa defense, the run game may be more misdirection and end-arounds to the wide receivers. Against such an aggressive defense, Josh McDaniels cannot expect to just pound the ball inside and get positive results.
The speed of TreVeyon Henderson should be able to make a difference. I would want to see him on designed screens to slow the pass rushers and also chip and slip out of the backfield. When running the ball, using motion to fake the end around to a wide receiver could open space for him to break a long run.
McDaniels likes to lean on the run early to set-up play action passing later in the game from the same formations. This has worked very well for New England and is why the offense sometimes takes some time to get moving. McDaniels doesn’t often empty his 15 best plays to start the game like some offensive coordinators (looking at you, Tennessee and Cleveland) but methodically sets-up the defense for later.
McDaniels may have to adjust tactics this week. There is no setting up the run against Tampa. He will need to throw everything at them and be unpredictable for sixty plays to put the offense into position to win.
TB Offense vs NE Defense
I have absolutely no problem admitting I looked at this game, on the road in Tampa against Baker Mayfield and the Bucs’ offense, before the season and just circled it as a loss and moved on to the Thursday night game next week against the Jets.
Although Tampa is coming off their bye week, the Patriots are fortunate that the offense is at less than full strength still. Six-time Pro Bowl selection and eleven time 1,000 yard receiver Mike Evans was lost for the season to injury after just four games. In addition, his running mate and four time 1,000 yard receiver Chris Godwin is out injured and has been limited to just two games.
In the running game, last year’s rookie sensation, running back Bucky Irving, is out still and the 1,000 yard rusher last season will not play.
Having no Evans, Godwin and Irving is a huge break for the New England defense. Of course, the Bucs still have Baker Mayfield playing at an MVP level at quarterback and rookie Emeka Egbuka--yet another young star wide receiver from Ohio State--has more than picked up the slack quickly becoming Mayfield’s primary target and on pace for over 1,200 yards receiving.
New England will be without versatile linebacker Christian Ellis this week, but fortunately cornerback Christian Gonzalez cleared concussion protocol after leaving the game last week in the fourth quarter. Not having him in this game could have been catastrophic.
Pass Defense:
The Patriots have improved their pass defense after a brutal start to the season. It is no coincidence that this six game win streak has featured Christian Gonzalez starting all six games after missing the first three games to injury.
According to Sharp Football Analysis, the Patriots are tenth in the NFL in man coverage rate so far in 2025 with a 28.6% of their snaps in man and 67.2% in zone. They’re middle of the pack in blitz rate (23.5% - 20th) often sacrificing extra rushers for more bodies in coverage.
Last week, the defense started strong but struggled mightily to keep Atlanta off the scoreboard. Atlanta hunted mismatches with six-foot-five wide receiver Drake London and attempted to isolate him on five-foot-nine Marcus Jones. The Patriots need to do a better job of not passing coverage and letting Carlton Davis and Gonzalez stay with the bigger receivers going forward.
For Atlanta, it was a game where London just simply balled out. The coverage was excellent at times and London just used his size, athleticism, and attitude to win on some pass attempts.
The New England pass rush should be in position to get steady pressure as Tampa’s offensive line has allowed a higher pressure rate than the Patriots’ much maligned offensive line. However, Tampa could potentially be getting two offensive linemen back and veteran left tackle Tristan Wirfs desperately needed a week of rest on the bye week after battling nagging injuries.
The offensive line was a long-time strength for Tampa, as the veteran Wirfs was part of the group protecting Tom Brady on their way to dominating in the Super Bowl. Veteran Ben Bredeson at left guard is solid and former first round pick Graham Barton has settled in as an above-average center already in his second season.
The right side of the line is where the question marks are at. Right guard Luke Haggard has been banged up and is still questionable for the game, but expected to play. If not, veteran Dan Feeney is solid if unspectacular as the backup. The former Bill is a serviceable veteran interior lineman.
Right tackle has been an issue with young mustachioed veteran Luke Goedeke has exceeded all expectations coming out of the MAC at Central Michigan and developed into an above average pass blocker but a mauler in the running game.
Goedeke practiced in full this week, but is still in his 21-day window to return from injured reserve. Without Goedeke, Charlie Heck has been a turnstile at right tackle. Heck has struggled mightily this season. Look for edge rushers Harold Landry and K’Lavon Chaisson to test Wirfs
Health on the blindside and Heck immediately if he starts.
Tampa has serviceable tight ends with Cade Otton the best receiver of the bunch. Payne Durham and Devin Culp are usually extra blockers only, but Otton often is the secondary target behind Egbuka, especially on third downs.
Christian Gonzalez, Carlton Davis and Marcus Jones should see plenty of Egbuka as Tampa moves him all over the formation. The rest of the receivers are inconsistent at best. Veteran Sterling Shepherd is a serviceable veteran outside receiver, but is not a big play threat.
One player with juice is seventh-round draft pick Tez Johnson. He transferred to Oregon and fell off draft charts due to his diminutive size and 4.51 forty time. The adopted brother of Denver quarterback Bo Nix, after a slow start the spark plug has become a key chain mover on offense. Much like Pop Douglas in New England, more shifty than fast describes the twitchy slot receiver.
Of course, the wildcard is Baker Mayfield. After a down performance versus New Orleans, the competitive quarterback is no doubt itching to get back on the field. Despite missing top-three receivers Evans, Godwin and last year’s breakout rookie Jalen McMillan due to injury this year, he has continued to play at an MVP level.
Run Defense:
The New England run defense again had one of its best performances of 2025 last week, slowing down one of the top running backs in the NFL. Bijan Robinson had just 46 yards on a dozen carries as the Falcons never got the run game going against New England.
The Patriots’ defense has been exceptionally strong all season. They held Atlanta to just 71 total yards on the ground, the Browns to just 68 yards rushing the week prior and Tennessee to just 39 yards rushing before that. .
New England has held seven of nine opponents under 75 yards rushing so far in 2025. Only Carolina (129 yards) and Buffalo (118 yards) have topped 100 yards on the ground. That has remained a significant part of the defense keeping opposing offenses on the sidelines with third-downs being less manageable, helping prevent offenses from mounting long drives.
For the Patriots, Milton Williams and Christian Barmore have continued attacking up the field and penetrating to blow up running plays. With Khyris Tonga filling the middle, teams have had little space to run. The underrated nose tackle has been a force, occupying multiple offensive linemen and giving linebackers Robert Spillane, Jack Gibbens and now Jahlani Tavai (taking over for an injured Christian Ellis) opportunities for cleaning up running backs behind or near the line of scrimmage.
Safety Jaylinn Hawkins has been a major contributor in the run defense coming up from the safety position. Rookie Craig Woodson has been a willing tackler in the run defense as well.
For Tampa, being without Bucky Irving limits them significantly. Former third-round pick Rachaad White was best as a change-of-pace back for Irving last year after struggling in the lead back role his first two seasons. Having an expanded role since Irving’s injury, White has struggled and lost playing time to the third-year Syracuse UDFA Sean Tucker.
The most dangerous runner with Irving out is Mayfield scrambling. While not as dangerous as Drake Maye in the open field, Mayfield is better at scrambling to extend the play and look for a downfield opportunity. However, when he tucks and runs, he often is able to pick up the first down and extend the drive.
Other Factors:
New England Patriots rookie sixth-round draft pick kicker Andy Borregales has continued to improve each week after a shaky start to his career in New England. The rookie is kicking with confidence and has been steady with extra points, field goals and kickoffs.
Punter Bryce Baringer remains solid despite the occasional side-of-foot short wobbler and, I guess, the rookie long snapper, Julian Ashby, has been fine. Still not much to report here, which is good news.
Efton Chism has been on the active roster to return kicks and has been…just okay. He has been lacking in explosive kick returns. Marcus Jones remains the league-leader in punt returns averaging 19.3 yards on his dozen returns. Teams have taken notice and he’s had very few return opportunities over the past few weeks.
For Tampa, their punt unit is already responsible for multiple blocked punts allowed this season. Early on against the Eagles, they had a punt blocked and returned 35 yards for a touchdown. They also had a punt blocked against the Houston Texans this season.
Punter Riley Dixon was a seventh-round draft pick in Denver in 2016. He’s had multiple stints in Denver and also kicked for the Giants and Rams. Now in his tenth season and first in Tampa, he has been solid with a 46.7 yard average but holds the ball too long contributing to the blocks. He boasts a strong leg but has outkicked coverage and given up some big returns and are ranked last in the NFL allowing 14.7 yards per return.
Veteran Chase McLaughlin has settled in now his third season for the Bucs. After playing for six other teams, he has capably handled the kicking duties and is 17 of 21 on field goals and 16 of 17 on extra points. He has already had a 65 yard field goal this season and with a strong and accurate leg is available once they reach midfield.
Tampa’s return game features the speedy UDFA Kameron Johnson out of Barton (he’s the only NFL alum from the Division II Bulldogs). Back-up running back Sean Tucker helps out on kick returns, but Johnson is the big play threat.
Core special teams player Markees Watts will miss the game this week, leaving one less sure tackler on the field when New England’s explosive punt return unit is on the field.
Game Pick:
The Patriots have been churning through bad teams and racking up victories. Other than the Bills in week five, the Patriots beat up teams they should beat each week. Last week saw a brief letdown against Atlanta (an inconsistent, but talented team) and escaped due to errors made by an undisciplined Falcons squad that had a missed extra point and a miscommunication on a shotgun snap late in the game.
The Bucs have an explosive offense and a defense that attacks aggressively and puts opponents into difficult situations. In the past four weeks, they have forced ten turnovers after forcing just two in the first four games.
I want to believe that this Patriots team can beat a good team again. That said, this is the most diverse and aggressive defense that Drake Maye will have faced this year, and maybe in his short pro career. He will not have an easy time driving the offense down the field consistently, but he must be patient and take the check-downs to avoid sacks and other negative plays..
While I don’t expect Tampa to be able to run the ball, I expect their defense to stop the Patriots run game as well and even things out there. This game could come down to whoever makes the big play in a key situation on defense.
I expect a close game, and Mayfield and Maye to both make explosive plays. However, I give a slight edge to the Tampa defense, especially with Maye being a bit careless with the ball at times the past few weeks and not taking checkdowns and running into sacks.
PATRIOTS 20 @ BUCCANEERS 24
Spread: Buccaneers -2.5: Bucs
Moneyline: Buccaneers -135, Patriots +114: Bucs
Over/Under: 48.5: Under

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