NFL Week 17 2025 - Weekly Picks Against the Spread and Straight up


Don’t you just hate it when you have a plan, and then things spiral out of your control and your best laid plans go up in smoke?

Yeah, me too. Unfortunately, I had a plan and even though Christmas Eve and Christmas are valid excuses, I had planned to get ahead of the Thursday games and have my picks posted since there were three Christmas Day games.


Now I don’t even want to go back to week 16 games…it seems like a million years ago.


Let’s check in on the Christmas games I had picked and have already been played:

  • Dallas wins but doesn’t cover.
    • Nailed that one.
  • The Lions didn’t show up versus the Minnesota defense.
    • Ugh. Not even close on that prediction.
  • The Broncos won but couldn’t cover against the checked-out Chiefs. 
    • Pitiful performance by Denver--I expected better from the offense.


Anyway, each week during the season, I make my picks with my buddy David on his SportsKrunch with DKrom podcast as we’ve done regularly for the past five years (and many appearances pre-pandemic as well). 


Check out this week’s episode as we recapped week sixteen, handed out our weekly awards and rated the playoff teams, checked in on the head coaches on the hot seat, and of course all the game predictions and prognostications with our bold predictions--it is available here.


Please give a listen each week on your preferred podcast provider. All back episodes are available here at Apple podcasts.


Last Week: Straight up: 11-5; Against the Spread: 11-4-1

Season Totals: Straight up: 152-87-1; Against the Spread: 115-123-2

Lock of the Week: 12-4

Upset Special: 4-13


Now, on to the week seventeen picks!

2025 NFL Week 17 Picks

THURSDAY CHRISTMAS FOOTBALL

COWBOYS 38 @ COMMANDERS 34

Spread: Cowboys -7: Commanders

Moneyline: Cowboys -305, Commanders +245: Commanders

O/U: 50.5: Over


LIONS 32 @ VIKINGS 25

Spread: Lions -6: Lions 

Moneyline: Lions -258, Vikings +210: Lions

O/U: 44.5: Over


BRONCOS 27 @ CHIEFS 0 (LOCK OF THE WEEK)

Spread: Broncos -12.5: Broncos

Moneyline: Broncos -900, Chiefs +600: Broncos

O/U: 36.5: Under


SATURDAY

TEXANS 20 @ CHARGERS 19

Spread: Chargers -2.5

Moneyline: Texans +105, Chargers -125

O/U: 39.5


RAVENS 16 @ PACKERS 24

Spread: Packers -2.5

Moneyline: Packers -142, Ravens +120

O/U: 40.5


SUNDAY 1:00PM

CARDINALS 20 @ BENGALS 24

Spread: Bengals -7: Bengals

Moneyline: Bengals -380, Cardinals +300: Bengals

O/U: 53.5: Under


STEELERS 22 @ BROWNS 20

Spread: Steelers -4.5: Steelers

Moneyline: Steelers -225, Browns +185: Steelers

O/U: 34.5: Over


SAINTS 25 @ TITANS 27

Spread: Saints -2.5: Titans

Moneyline: Saints -142, Titans +120: Titans

O/U: 39.5: Over


JAGUARS 27 @ COLTS 24

Spread: Jaguars -7: Colts

Moneyline: Jaguars -340, Colts +270: Jaguars

O/U: 46.5: Over


BUCCANEERS 27 @ DOLPHINS 24

Spread: Buccaneers -5.5: Dolphins

Moneyline: Buccaneers -258, Dolphins +210: Bucs

O/U: 46.5: Over


PATRIOTS 30 @ JETS 16

Spread: Patriots -13.5: Patriots

Moneyline: Patriots -1050, Jets +675: Patriots

O/U: 42.5: Over


SEAHAWKS 25 @ PANTHERS 24

Spread: Seahawks -7.5: Panthers

Moneyline: Seahawks -360, Panthers +285: Seahawks

O/U: 42.5: Over


SUNDAY 4:05/4:25PM:

GIANTS 19 @ RAIDERS 16

Spread: Giants -1.5: Giants

Moneyline: Giants -105, Raiders -115: Giants

O/U: 41.5: Under


EAGLES 20 @ BILLS 25

Spread: Bills -2.5: Bills

Moneyline: Bills -142, Eagles +120: Bills

O/U: 43.5: Over


SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

BEARS 27 @ 49ERS 24 (UPSET SPECIAL)

Spread: 49ers -3: Bears

Moneyline: 49ers -148, Bears +124: Bears

O/U: 51.5: Under


MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

RAMS 31 @ FALCONS 25

Spread: Rams -8.5: Falcons

Moneyline: Rams -470, Falcons +360: Rams

O/U: 49.5: Over


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