NFL Week 11 2025 - Weekly Picks Against the Spread and Straight up



The second half of 2025 began in the NFL with a bunch of great games last week!

Do you like offense? Three teams topped 40 points last week and another three put up over 30 or more points. 


Are you a fan of defensive battles? Week ten was bookmarked by a pair of 10-7 games on Thursday and Monday night, and also threw in a 17-7 stinkfest, I mean defensive battle between Carolina and New Orleans. 


Upsets? Sure, how about Miami blowing out Buffalo 30-13?


Comebacks? Sure, how about the Bears doing it again and the Giants choking away another fourth quarter lead and costing their head coach his job?


MVP caliber quarterbacks battling? You got it with Drake Maye and Baker Mayfield leaving it all out on the field as both showed why they’re solidly in the conversation. 


What a week that was! Now onto this week to see if we can top the entertainment level.


Thursday night kicks off this week with the AFC East leading New England Patriots facing off against bitter rivals the New York Jets and new head coach Aaron Glenn. Then, the final breakfast and football special (well, on the East coast, natch) as the 9:30AM International game kicks off in the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, Spain features the 3-7 Washington Commanders facing the 3-7 Miami Dolphins.


The early window on Sunday is highlighted by the Buccaneers travelling to Buffalo to face the Bills and Chicago trying to bury their NFC North rivals the Minnesota VIkings. 


In the late window, the big game of the four is the AFC West battle between the upstart Denver Broncos and the nine-consecutive division winning Kansas City Chiefs in Empower Field at Mile High where the Broncos faithful will be loud as they try to drop 5-4 Kansas City down to .500. 


Sunday Night Football features two NFC titans in a potential NFC Championship Game preview as the world champion Philadelphia Eagles host the high powered Detroit Lions. 


The week wraps up with a matchup that the brass at Disney likely thought would be a better game. The ABC/ESPN Monday Night Football game has the Dallas Cowboys travelling to Las Vegas to take on Pete Carroll and the Raiders. 


Each week during the season, I make my picks with my buddy David on his SportsKrunch with DKrom podcast as we’ve done regularly for the past five years (and pre-pandemic as well). 


Check out the episode as we recapped week nine, graded the biggest of the trades, gave out the midseason awards, and all the predictions and prognostications--it is available here.


Please give a listen each week on your preferred podcast provider. All back episodes are available here at Apple podcasts.


Last Week: Straight up: 7-7; Against the Spread: 2-12 (Bit by my love of underdogs!)

Season Totals: Straight up: 92-56-1; Against the Spread: 68-81

Lock of the Week: 6-4

Upset Special: 3-7


Now, on to the week eleven picks!

2025 NFL Week 11 Picks

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

JETS 11 @ PATRIOTS 27

Spread: Patriots -11.5: Patriots

Moneyline: Patriots -800, Jets +550: Patriots

O/U: 43.5


INTERNATIONAL GAME

COMMANDERS 20 @ DOLPHINS 21

Spread: Dolphins -2.5: Commanders

Moneyline: Dolphins -142, Commanders +120: Dolphins

O/U: 47.5


SUNDAY 1:00PM

TEXANS 20 @ TITANS 18

Spread: Texans -7.5: Titans

Moneyline: Texans -355, Titans +280: Texans

O/U: 38.5


BEARS 24 @ VIKINGS 20

Spread: Vikings -3: Bears

Moneyline: Vikings -162, Bears +136: Bears

O/U: 48.5


BUCCANEERS 22 @ BILLS 24

Spread: Bills -5.5: Bucs

Moneyline: Bills -230, Buccaneers +190: Bills

O/U: 49.5


BENGALS 30 @ STEELERS 27

Spread: Steelers -5.5: Bengals

Moneyline: Steelers -230, Bengals +190: Bengals

O/U: 49.5


PACKERS 31 @ GIANTS 22

Spread: Packers -8.5: Packers

Moneyline: Packers -470, Giants +360: Packers

O/U: 44.5


CHARGERS 27 @ JAGUARS 21

Spread: Chargers -3: Chargers

Moneyline: Chargers -148, Jaguars +124: Chargers

O/U: 44.5


PANTHERS 16 @ FALCONS 13

Spread: Falcons -3.5: Panthers

Moneyline: Falcons -192, Panthers +160: Panthers

O/U: 42.5

4:05/4:25PM:

SEAHAWKS 27 @ RAMS 24

Spread: Rams -2.5: Seahawks

Moneyline: Rams -148, Seahawks +124: Seahawks

O/U: 48.5


49ERS 20 @ CARDINALS 21

Spread: 49ers -3: Cardinals

Moneyline: 49ers -155, Cardinals +130: Cardinals

O/U: 48.5


CHIEFS 19 @ BRONCOS 20 (UPSET SPECIAL) 

Spread: Chiefs -3.5: Broncos

Moneyline: Chiefs -185, Broncos +154: Broncos

O/U: 43.5


RAVENS 24 @ BROWNS 9 (LOCK OF THE WEEK)

Spread: Ravens -8.5: Ravens

Moneyline: Ravens -425, Browns +330: Ravens

O/U: 41.5


SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

LIONS 27 @ EAGLES 18

Spread: Eagles -1.5: Lions

Moneyline: Eagles -122, Lions +102: Lions

O/U: 49.5


MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

COWBOYS 38 @ RAIDERS 40

Spread: Cowboys -3.5: Raiders

Moneyline: Cowboys -180, Raiders +150: Raiders

O/U: 50.5




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