NFL Week 13 2025 - Weekly Picks Against the Spread and Straight up


Week twelve of the 2025 NFL season could go down in history as one of the better weeks of football in a 2025 season that seemingly has delivered a high level of excitement and minimized the weeks with dud match-up after dud match-up. This past week had a bit of everything to whet the appetite of the NFL fan. 


The Texans kicked things off on Thursday Night Football harassing and pressuring Josh Allen and the stumbling Bills. Davis Mills did just enough for a Houston offense that is rounding into form as we barrel towards December.


The Steelers fell to the magical first-place Chicago Bears as Aaron Rodgers was out injured. The first place New England Patriots had fans searching online for "pyrrhic victory” as injuries mounted as they held off what could have been the last game of the illustrious and sometimes elite career of Joe Flacco


The NFC North favorite Lions and Packers added wins trying to keep up with the Bears (“I’ll take ‘Sentences I did not plan to write in 2025’ for $1000, Alex.”) with the Lions mounting an “Alcoa presents: Fantastic Finishes” come from behind win over the pesky Giants and Jameis Winston.


In a game nowhere as close as the score, Seattle beat Cam Ward and the Titans 30-24. The Ravens did not look cohesive on offense, but fortunately for them they were playing the Jets and won handily. In the Heavyweight Bout, the Colts abandoned the aggressiveness that got them to first place in the AFC South and meekly punted  away multiple times including overtime as they fell to the Chiefs 23-20.


In the late window the highlighted game featured the World Champion Eagles beating up their division rival Cowboys 21-0 before the wheels fell off in the Big D and Dallas and Dak stormed back for a 24-21 win. The Raiders inched closer to a top draft pick losing to Shadeur Sanders and the Browns. The Saints improved their draft position losing to NFC South compatriots and potential top-ten pickers the Falcons.


On Sunday night, the reeling Tampa Bay Buccaneers ran into a brick wall called the Rams’ impressive front seven but the secondary was the star of the show in prime time. Finally, on Monday Night Football, the Panthers may not have lost their heart in San Francisco, but they forgot to pack their offense as Brock Purdy threw three first half interceptions and San Francisco still won handily 20-9.


What a week that was! Now onto this week to see if we can top the entertainment level in week thirteen.


Thanksgiving is upon us and what a day for watching football. The Lions have become relevant in the Dan Campbell era and a must-watch in the early window while still elbowing family members away from my blueberry pie. It’s a full-on century old grudge match as the Packers face-off in a game with huge divisional impact 


Sunday Night Football features the . The week wraps up on Monday Night Football with the 


Each week during the season, I make my picks with my buddy David on his SportsKrunch with DKrom podcast as we’ve done regularly for the past five years (and pre-pandemic as well). 


Check out this week’s episode as we recapped week twelve, pulled out the panic meter to look at the suddenly contentious AFC South, sorted through all the big news with “Truth or Exaggeration”, and of course all the game predictions and prognostications with our bold predictions--it is available here.


Please give a listen each week on your preferred podcast provider. All back episodes are available here at Apple podcasts.


Last Week: Straight up:12-2; Against the Spread: 9-5

Season Totals: Straight up: 113-64-1; Against the Spread: 83-95

Lock of the Week: 8-4

Upset Special: 4-8


I was on fire with my picks last week! I need to keep that momentum going and Now, on to the week thirteen picks!

2025 NFL Week 13 Picks

THURSDAY THANKSGIVING FOOTBALL

PACKERS 25 @ LIONS 32

Spread: Lions -2.5: Lions

Moneyline: Lions -142, Packers +120: Lions

O/U: 48.5: Over


CHIEFS 35 @ COWBOYS 36

Spread: Chiefs -3.5: Cowboys

Moneyline: Chiefs -170, Cowboys +142: Cowboys

O/U: 52.5: Over


BENGALS 18 @ RAVENS 19

Spread: Ravens -7: Bengals

Moneyline: Ravens -340, Bengals +270: Ravens

O/U: 51.5: Under


BLACK FRIDAY


BEARS 21 @ EAGLES 20

Spread: Eagles -7: Bears

Moneyline: Eagles -325, Bears +260: Bears

O/U: 44.5: Under

SUNDAY 1:00PM

TEXANS 20 @ COLTS 24

Spread: Colts -4.5: Texans

Moneyline: Colts -225, Texans +185: Colts

O/U: 44.5: Under 


49ERS 24 @ BROWNS 20

Spread: 49ers -6: Browns

Moneyline: 49ers -298, Browns +240: 49ers

O/U: 39.5: Over


SAINTS 24 @ DOLPHINS 27

Spread: Dolphins -6: Saints

Moneyline: Dolphins -250, Saints +205: Dolphins

O/U: 41.5: Over


JAGUARS 20 @ TITANS 22

Spread: Jaguars -6.5: Titans

Moneyline: Jaguars -325, Titans +260: Titans

O/U: 42.5: Under (by a whisker!)


FALCONS 18 @ JETS 15

Spread: Falcons -2.5: Falcons

Moneyline: Falcons -142, Jets +120: Falcons

O/U: 39.5: Under


RAMS 30 @ PANTHERS 13

Spread: Rams -10.5: Rams

Moneyline: Rams -600, Panthers +440: Rams

O/U: 45.5: Under


CARDINALS 29 @ BUCCANEERS 33

Spread: Buccaneers -3: Bucs

Moneyline: Buccaneers -155, Cardinals +130: Bucs

O/U: 44.5: Over

4:05/4:25PM:

VIKINGS 13 @ SEAHAWKS 34 (LOCK OF THE WEEK)

Spread: Seahawks -10.5: Seahawks

Moneyline: Seahawks -500, Vikings +380: Seahawks

O/U: 41.5: Over


RAIDERS 17 @ CHARGERS 34

Spread: Chargers -10: Chargers

Moneyline: Chargers -625, Raiders +455: Chargers

O/U: 41.5: Over


BILLS 22 @ STEELERS 23 (UPSET SPECIAL) 

Spread: Bills -3.5: Steelers

Moneyline: Bills -198, Steelers +164: Steelers

O/U: 47.5: Under

SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

BRONCOS 16 @ COMMANDERS 13 (In Overtime)

Spread: Broncos -6.5: Commanders 

Moneyline: Broncos -310, Commanders +250: Broncos

O/U: 43.5: Under

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

GIANTS 20 @ PATRIOTS 24

Spread: Patriots -7.5: Giants

Moneyline: Patriots -425, Giants +330: Patriots

O/U: 46.5: Under


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