NFL Week 14 2025 - Weekly Picks Against the Spread and Straight up

Week thirteen of the 2025 NFL season is in the books and the NFL season is kicking into gear as we turn the corner into the final quarter of the season. 


Last week saw three games on Thanksgiving and a Black Friday game with the Lions, Chiefs, Ravens and Eagles all seeing their playoff chances take a hit with losses. The Rams lost, and the “what a difference a month makes” Colts dropped another. The 49ers and Dolphins beat really bad teams and Jacksonville and Tampa won against inferior opponents. 


All hail the Jets who beat the Falcons, improving the first round draft pick they’re sending to the Rams. I think Minnesota had a “Nathan Peterman” experience with their third-string quarterback in getting shut out by the Seahawks. The Bills ran all over the Steelers and the Chargers crushed the Raiders.


The AFC elite franchises were playing in prime time. Sunday night had the Broncos, in overtime, holding off the Commanders for their ninth straight win. Meanwhile, New England and Drake “Drake Maye” Maye let the nation go to bed early jumping out to a 30-7 halftime lead on Monday Night football as they cruised to their tenth consecutive win.


Now onto this week’s games to see if we can top the entertainment level in week thirteen.


Thursday Night Football features the Lions and Cowboys on their back-to-back Thursday games after their traditional hosting on Thanksgiving. 


Sunday afternoon in the early window has the Seahawks in Atlanta, Joe Burrow and the Bengals in Buffalo to face Josh Allen, the Commanders and Vikings, the Colts in a must win against the Jaguars, the Dolphins at the Jets, the “who wants to win the AFC North?” bowl with the Steelers at the Ravens and finally the Saints going to Tampa to take on Baker and company.


The later window has just three games with the Broncos in Vegas, the Rams in the desert, and the 100 Year War continuing with the Bears headed to the frozen tundra to face the Packers with first place on the line in the NFC North.


Sunday Night Football features the best defense in the NFL facing Patrick Mahomes playing behind an offensive line missing three starters. The week wraps up on Monday Night Football with the World Champion Eagles trying to get back on track versus the banged up Chargers. 


Each week during the season, I make my picks with my buddy David on his SportsKrunch with DKrom podcast as we’ve done regularly for the past five years (and pre-pandemic as well). 


Check out this week’s episode as we recapped week thirteen, handed out our weekly awards and aired our grievances, played “Truth or Exaggeration”, and of course all the game predictions and prognostications with our bold predictions--it is available here.


Please give a listen each week on your preferred podcast provider. All back episodes are available here at Apple podcasts.


Last Week: Straight up: 9-7; Against the Spread: 8-7-1

Season Totals: Straight up: 122-71-1; Against the Spread: 91-10201

Lock of the Week: 9-4

Upset Special: 4-10


Now, on to the week fourteen picks!

2025 NFL Week 14 Picks

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

COWBOYS 34 @ LIONS 27

Spread: Lions -3: Cowboys

Moneyline: Lions -166, Cowboys +140: Cowboys

O/U: 54.5: Under


(edit: Ugh, 0-1. I really thought Dallas’ offense could handle the Detroit defense. I didn’t figure on the Dallas defense collapsing like it did by losing 44-30)

SUNDAY 1:00PM

BENGALS 24 @ BILLS 27

Spread: Bills -5.5: Bengals 

Moneyline: Bills -258, Bengals +210: Bills

O/U: 53.5: Under


SEAHAWKS 26 @ FALCONS 18

Spread: Seahawks -7: Seahawks

Moneyline: Seahawks -360, Falcons +285: Seahawks

O/U: 43.5: Over

 

SAINTS 16 @ BUCCANEERS 25

Spread: Buccaneers -8.5: Bucs

Moneyline: Buccaneers -440, Saints +340: Bucs

O/U: 42.5: Under


COLTS 24 @ JAGUARS 27

Spread: Colts -2.5: Jaguars

Moneyline: Colts -130, Jaguars +110: Jaguars

O/U: 47.5: Over


STEELERS 13 @ RAVENS 22

Spread: Ravens -6: Ravens

Moneyline: Ravens -290, Steelers +235: Ravens

O/U: 42.5: Under


TITANS 22 @ BROWNS 21

Spread: Browns -3.5: Titans

Moneyline: Browns -205, Titans +170: Titans

O/U: 33.5: Over


DOLPHINS 13 @ JETS 19 (UPSET SPECIAL)

Spread: Dolphins -2.5

Moneyline: Dolphins -155, Jets +130

O/U: 41.5 : Under


COMMANDERS 25 @ VIKINGS 20

Spread: Commanders -2.5: Commanders

Moneyline: Commanders +110, Vikings -130: Commanders

O/U: 41.5: Over


4:05/4:25PM:

BRONCOS 28 @ RAIDERS 10

Spread: Broncos -7.5: Broncos

Moneyline: Broncos -410, Raiders +320: Broncos

O/U: 40.5: Under


BEARS 24 @ PACKERS 28

Spread: Packers -6.5: Bears

Moneyline: Packers -340, Bears +270: Packers

O/U: 44.5: Over

 

RAMS 34 @ CARDINALS 16 (LOCK OF THE WEEK)

Spread: Rams -7.5: Rams

Moneyline: Rams -425, Cardinals +330: Rams

O/U: 47.5: Over


SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

TEXANS 20 @ CHIEFS 16

Spread: Chiefs -3.5: Texans

Moneyline: Chiefs -180, Texans +150: Texans

O/U: 41.5: Under


MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL:

EAGLES 22 @ CHARGERS 24

Spread: Eagles -3: Charges

Moneyline: Eagles -155, Chargers +130: Chargers

O/U: 40.5: Over


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